Latest Publications

A recent op-ed by the head of Tetra Pak Southern Africa makes a clean argument: stop chasing more production, invest in processing, and let shelf-stable goods bypass a cold chain that fails beyond the cities. The diagnosis is largely correct. But “bypass” only works for products you can put in a carton — and the moment you ask what can’t, the cold chain problem doesn’t disappear. It just moves upstream where nobody’s looking. Read the Full Article "Food Processing and Cold Chain in Southern Africa: Why Aseptic Isn’t a Bypass"

Seven weeks after A River Full of Crocodiles named the Energy Crocodile, the river is bursting its banks — literally and operationally. A Gauteng refrigerated carrier has just announced a 7.5% rate increase citing fuel at 35% of overheads and a 60-day recovery lag. Eskom’s diesel demand is dormant but uncapped. Strategic reserves are still at two weeks. Sapref is still idle. The N2 and N3 are being assessed for flood damage this week. Winter has arrived early. Here is what changed, what didn’t, and the working-capital mechanism that converts structural exposure into business failure. Read the Full Article "The River Is Bursting Its Banks: Seven Weeks On from the Crocodiles"

Domestic airfreight contributes less than 5% of South Africa’s total air cargo volumes. The export-hub conversation has crowded out the structural gap that matters most for the country’s cold chain — the missing regional perishable air network. Read the Full Article "South Africa’s Missing Domestic Perishable Air Cargo Network"

Ocean Network Express says Durban’s peak-season reefer demand runs 55% short of incoming equipment. The maritime story dominates the headlines — but the harder problem starts 850 kilometres inland, where empty boxes have to find their way to the citrus before any of it leaves the country. Read the Full Article "South Africa Reefer Container Shortage 2026: The Inland Repositioning Cost Few Are Counting"

South Africa has 327 operational abattoirs — down from a post-deregulation peak of around 500. The closures have been disproportionately rural. Only 15 facilities are approved to export to Saudi Arabia. The cold chain consequence is a geographic dead zone that makes FMD regionalisation structurally impossible where the livestock actually is. Read the Full Article "Slaughtered by Red Tape: South Africa’s Abattoir Decline and the Cold Chain Dead Zones It Left Behind"

South Africa exports beef to the Middle East and Asia but imports billions in poultry. The cold chain infrastructure gap — at abattoir, traceability, and biosecurity level — is the real constraint holding back export growth. Read the Full Article "SA Meat Cold Chain: Why the Country Imports What It Could Export"

South Africa’s FMD vaccine rollout exposed systemic cold chain failures at provincial level. What went wrong, what the law requires, and what cold chain operators can learn from the worst animal health crisis in a generation. Read the Full Article "The FMD Cold Chain Failure: What SA’s Vaccine Rollout Revealed About Last-Mile Cold Logistics"

South Africa is watching one crocodile — the April fuel price shock. Nobody is looking at the rest of the river. Behind the Fuel Crocodile, five more are moving toward the same bank simultaneously: the Food Crocodile (FMD, African swine fever, avian flu), the Energy Crocodile (structural refining collapse, two-week reserves, Eskom), the Money Crocodile (SARB reversal, investment freeze, the small operator trap), the People Crocodile (demand destruction, skilled workforce attrition, the school feeding programme), and the Silence Crocodile (the measurable gap between what the evidence shows and what official communications say). Cold chain sits at the intersection of every one of them. This analysis names all six — with confirmed data, sourced evidence, and a clear picture of what operators must do before 1 April. Read the Full Article "A River Full of Crocodiles: South Africa’s Converging System Crisis and the Cold Chain at the Centre of It"

The Strait of Hormuz has effectively closed. Brent crude has doubled since January. South Africa’s April diesel price is tracking a R5.66/litre under-recovery with 15 trading days still to run. This article maps the transmission path from geopolitical conflict to cold chain operating cost — and what operators should be doing right now. Read the Full Article "Middle East Crisis: What the Fuel Shock Means for South Africa’s Cold Chain"